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Intage Research Co., Ltd., which conducts research and market research projects at Intage Holdings Co., Ltd., conducted a “Consciousness Survey on Regional Creation and Population Decline” targeting 10,000 people nationwide on 22nd, and compiled the results released.

This survey is based on a sample structure based on the demographic population such as gender, age, residence area, and unmarried age based on the census of 2015 for men and women between the ages of 16 and 79 who are net monitors of Intage. A total of 10,000 samples are analyzed. The survey was conducted from March 25 to March 27, 2019.

・ Real sensitivity of population decline
【Overall】
Very decreased: 13.8%
decreased slightly: 27.4%
not changed much: 19.4%
slightly increased: 17.0%
very increased: 3.5%
unknown : 18.8%

【City with population of over 1 million people】
Very decreasing: 4.5%
slightly decreasing: 17.8%
not changing much: 24.6%
slightly increasing: 24.6%
very increasing: 7.2%
do not know: 21.3%

【City with population of over 200,000】
Very decreased: 15.1%
slightly decreased: 32.5%
not changed much: 20.6%
slightly increased: 12.8%
very increased
Have : 1.5% do not know: 17.4%

[City less than 50,000 people]
Very decreasing: 34.7%
slightly decreasing: 30.2%
not much changing: 10.7%
slightly increasing: 10.0%
very much increasing: 1.2%
do not know : 13.3%

First of all, when looking at the degree of actualization of population change, "very decreased" is 13.8% and "slightly decreased" is 27.4%, and "total decrease" is 41.2% was. 17.0% of those who say "Slightly increased" and 3.5% of "Very increased" are 20.5% of the "Increment meter", which is the total of this. It is in a situation where

By city scale, in cities with a population of 1 million or more, "less on a change" and "slightly increasing" are the top with 24.6%, and "Decrease" remains at 22.3% The “Increment meter” is almost 10 points higher than “Decrement meter” at 31.8%.

People who feel "slightly decreased" rapidly increase in cities with more than 500,000 people, and are eased slightly in cities with more than 300,000 people, but the city with smaller population also decreases in population Was strongly felt.

In cities with more than 200,000 people, “very decreased” is 15.1%, “slightly decreased” is 32.5%, and “decrement meter” is 47.6%, approaching half. On the other hand, "slight increase" was 12.8%, "very increase" was 1.5%, and "total increase" was 14.3%.

In cities with less than 50,000 people, "very decreased" became the most frequent response at 34.7%, and "following a slight decrease" also became 30.2%, so the "decrease" was 64.9% It is over.

・ Population decrease actual sensitivity by regional block
【Decrease meter】
Hokkaido region: 57.9%
Tohoku region: 66.6%
Kanto region: 26.2%
Chubu region: 46.2%
Kinki region: 37.0%
Chugoku region: 56.6%
Shikoku region: 72.2%
Kyushu region: 48.8%

【Augment 】
Hokkaido Region: 12.1%
Tohoku Region: 10.5%
Kanto Region: 29.2%
Central Region: 15.1%
Kinki Region: 18.0%
Chugoku Region: 11.2%
Shikoku Region: 7.1%
Kyushu Region: 23.0% Viewed by

Area Block As for the actual sensitivity of the population decline, the Shikoku region is remarkably high at 72.2%, with a "decrement meter" that adds "very decreased" and "slightly decreased". Among them, 44.5% answered "Slightly decreased". Following the Shikoku region, the “Decrease” is the highest in 66.6% in the Tohoku region, followed by the Hokkaido region and the Chugoku region in more than 50%.

The "total increase", which is the sum of "slightly increase" and "very increase", is the highest at 29.2% in the Kanto region, and the region is the only one with the "increase" exceeding the "decrease" The Next, 23.0% of the Kyushu region has the highest increase rate. The lowest was 7.1% in the Shikoku region, which was less than 10%.

・人口減少に伴う懸念点
高齢化による医療・介護ニーズの増加と支え手不足：59.3％
空き家・空き地の増加：48.5％
若者が減少し活気がなくなる：47.3％
公共サービスの質の低下：35.4％
公共交通機関の縮小：29.5％

人口減少を実感している人に、居住地域で人口減少の進行に伴い懸念されることには、どのようなことがあるか尋ねたところ、全体のトップは「高齢化による医療・介護ニーズの増加と支え手不足」で59.3％の回答率となりました。都市規模別でも全てのクラスで同項目が1位になっています。

2位は「空き家・空き地の増加」の48.5％で、続く3位は「若者が減少して活気がなくなる」の47.3％でした。5万人未満の都市では、これら3項目がいずれも6割前後の人から懸念される点として選ばれています。

以下「公共サービスの質の低下」や「公共交通機関の縮小」などと続き、人口100万人以上の都市では5位に「治安の悪化」がランクイン、20万人以上、30万人以上の都市は5位に「地域内の経済縮小」がランクインしていました。

・人口減少時の居住意向
【全体】
今の地域にとどまる：51.6％
今の地域（市区町村・都道府県）内で別の地区に引っ越す：7.5％
今の地域を出て別の地域に引っ越す：10.0％
わからない：30.9％

【今の地域にとどまる意向】
男性16～19歳：25.9％
男性20～29歳：33.1％
男性30～39歳：46.2％
男性40～49歳：51.7％
男性50～59歳：59.6％
男性60～69歳：68.4％
男性70～79歳：72.6％
女性16～19歳：25.9％
女性20～29歳：26.8％
女性30～39歳：36.8％
女性40～49歳：44.1％
女性50～59歳：48.9％
女性60～69歳：62.7％
女性70～79歳：67.1％

人口減少が進行し、懸念される問題が現実化した場合にどうするかを尋ねた問いでは、「今の地域にとどまると思う」が全体で51.6％となり、過半を占めたものの、「わからない」とした人も30.9％と多くなっていました。

引っ越し意向派では、「今の地域の中で別の地区に引っ越すと思う」人が7.5％、「今の地域を出て別の地域に引っ越すと思う」人は10.0％とそれぞれ1割程度で、引っ越すならば市区町村・都道府県単位のエリアを出て、離れた地にと考える人がやや多い傾向になっています。

性別と年代による属性別で集計した結果では、年齢が上がるほど「今の地域にとどまると思う」人が多く、男女別では女性よりも男性の方が「とどまる」派の多い傾向がみられました。

10～20代の若年層では「わからない」とする人も3～4割と多数を占めましたが、やはり「引っ越す」と思う人が3割超にのぼり、人口減少地域では若者の流出がさらに加速度的に進んでいくリスクが高いと考えられる結果になっています。

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(Image from press release)


▼ External link

Press release by Intage Holdings (PR TIMES)
https://prtimes.jp/main/html/rd/p/000000446.000001551.html